Pandas Weekly Newsletter 3/26
Every week we review everything you need to know about the stock market for the week ahead as an active or passive trader.
Market Big Picture & Long-Term Technicals
$SPX concluded another week hugging the weekly trend line we’ve been discussing for the last 9 weeks now. Post FOMC the market broke back below, bottomed at 3909 and closed the week firmly above the trend. There is a lot of noise in the market and on social media about this being a bull trap before capitulation similar to other bear markets. What we see is 9 weeks of consolidation near a key weekly breakout level. The more consolidation you have near a large area, the more explosive move you will have to follow once a clear trend is established. So whether this is to the upside/downside, we do not know. No one has a crystal ball.
With that being said, the market has managed to put in higher lows and higher highs so far over the past couple of months. There are a number of technical aspects of the weekly that favor the upside. As always, we’ll be ready to trade the move either way.
Over 4100 sets up a big breakout to 4300+.
Under 3909 can accelerate the downside toward 3700-3640.
Between 3909-4100 is largely just noise… This range can frustrate traders and create unnecessary noise about future predictions. It is important to be tactical in this zone.
Economic Calendar & Earnings
source: (investing.com)
Notable Earnings: LULU 0.00%↑
source: earningswhispers.com
Near Term Outlook & Trade Plan
SPX 3970 targets 4000, 4018
SPX 3910-3970 = chop zone
SPX 3910 targets 3886, 3860
Pandas Weekly Watchlist
Our Favorite Trade Setup - NFLX over 332.72
Contract: NFLX 3/31 335c
Targets: 336.50, 343.06, 348.70
Stop: 329 using 15m candle
Notes: NFLX had a nice breakout last week over the 305.63 level and closed relatively strong just under the 329 level after testing 332.72. Watching this setup closely for a break over that 332.72 level the next time it tests it for continuation. Possible to see 343.06 before some consolidation.
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